Vlad the Great Strides West
Posted March 17, 2007 on 1:20 pm | In the category Russia | by Mackenzie Brothers There are two kinds of reports coming out of contemporary Russia. One has to do with things like the brutal war in Chechyna, or the corruption and violence that is endemic to Russian life, and particularly dangerous for opposition politicians and muckracking journalists. The other has to do with the breathtaking display of exploding political and economic power that Russia has been able to sustain in the reign of Vladimir Putin. Putin may have taken on the powers of a czar, but by law his reign must end at about the same time as that of George W. Bush. The people of Russia seem to be in no mood to punish the ascetic, all-powerful former KGB agent for his strong-armed approach to maintaining order as they regain much of the confidence in the strength of the world’s largest country that had been lost with the fall of the Soviet Union. In fact it can be argued that Putin is the most popular elected head of state in the world; polls show an approval rating that George Bush can’t imagine, even though there is little chance of an opposition getting a fair shake in an election in Putin’s Russia. Virtually noone can make sense of former German chancellor Gerhard Schroeder’s claim that his pal Putin was “ein lupenreiner Demokrat” – a pure democrat – but the western European leaders, in their private moments, would probably all agree that they prefer to deal with a stable regime in Moscow than with the anarchy that preceded Putin.
With little time left in his reign (and there is much speculation about what the still young ex-chief will do, surely more than Bill Clinton has been able to muster in a similar situation), Putin is using his re-established power base to forge alliances with former enemies who themselves have trouble fathoming the US government. In the last week he has had a private meeting with the Pope in a tentative attempt to bring some conciliation between Orthodox and Roman Catholic Christians. This meeting took place without translators as Putin announced that he wished to talk to the Pope in his native German, which Putin speaks very well. (As an aside, wasn’t Condoleeza Rice, as an academic, supposed to be an expert on Russian affairs? Does she use a translator in Moscow? Is there any sign that she has any understanding of Russia?) He then had apparently fruitful meetings with the italian Prime Minister in Rome, signed an accord with the presidents of Greece and Bulgaria in Athens, establishing a pipeline for Russian oil on its way to western Europe that is 51% under Russian control, stopped the building of the Iranian nuclear plant, pending the payment of Iranian debts to Russia, announced that Aeroflot would be spending 4.4 billion dollars to buy 22 Airbusses made in western Europe, while shutting down any negotiations with Boeing, and stated that Russia was considering closing its air space to western European airlines. All in a week’s work, one might say, but it is also all proof that Russia has made clear to western Europe and the US that they no longer have the luxury of putting their heads in the sand when it comes to assessing Russia’s place in world politics.
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There is some evidence that the U.S. is belatedly coming to its senses regarding the strange love affair between George and Vlad – an affair that leaves Bush wondering if Vlad respects him in the morning. For having fallen for the “soul” of an autocrat Bush is left to wonder when the love is to be reciprocated.
Human/civil rights are apparently not a great concern among the Russian people as long as the malls open new shops and the shops actually have things in them to buy. And while Bush’s policies have ignored the energy crisis waiting the U.S. in the wings, Vlad has pumped up the energy power of Russia and is ready to use it.
Condoleezza Rice is indeed considered an expert on Russian affairs but that is only relative to her expertise in Middle East Affairs, which is proving to be disastrous. And as for Vlad speaking excellent German as a second language, we are stuck with a president who cannot even speak his first language well so there is only an unfair comparison of the two presidents.
But the point is well taken that Russia deserves more attention than the administration has given it, recognizing that when this particular administration gives attention to a country it is not always a good thing – for them or for us. But amateur hour is almost over so perhaps the game will continue on a stronger footing after 2008. Given the way the elections operate down here, I am not hopeful.
Comment by jeff — March 20, 2007 #